550_asl_yardShipbuilding and repair drive ASL Marine's earnings, and its shipyards are operating at near full capacity. Company photo

FIDELITY MANAGEMENT AND RESEARCH (FMR) has become a substantial shareholder of ASL Marine, 3 weeks after 
it posted a 40% year-on-year surge in net profit attributable to shareholders to reach S$45.3 million.

On 18 Sep, one of the world’s largest mutual fund and financial services groups, FMR, purchased 20,000 ASL shares at 67 cents each from the open market, raising its deemed interest to 5%.

The share purchase perhaps reflects FMR's vote of confidence to the shipyard's bold foray into speculative newbuilds in a bid to raise profitability at a time when vessel values are at rock bottom.

According to Bloomberg data, other institutional investors with stakes in ASL include Deutsche Bank (4.9%), John Handcock Investment, Manulife, and Dimensional Fund Advisors. 

Gearing up to boost margins

AngKokTian ferryASL Marine managing director Ang Kok Tian.
NextInsight file photo
ASL is building 4 generic AHTS vessels prior to customer order and financing the construction through a S$170 million bond issue.

In his report dated 29 August, CIMB analyst Yeo Zhi Bin noted that such on-demand vessels can fetch net margins of 30%, compared to an average gross margin of 12.5% on its order book.

Mr Yeo believes that the shipyard’s foray into building anchor handlers before newbuilding orders are placed can provide a strong boost to its margins.

The analyst maintained his ‘Outperform’ rating on the stock with a target price of 86 cents. This translates into a 28.4% upside from its closing price of 67 cents on 23 September.

Offshore demand sustaining earnings growth

The integrated marine service group posted a 19.0% growth in FY2013 revenue to S$465.4 million and a 47.0% growth in gross profit to S$83.6 million.

Shipbuilding is its core earnings driver, contributing 45% of group gross profit in FY2013.

Its shipbuilding business specializes in building and repair of OSVs, dredgers, tugs & barges, and tankers.

It has 4 yards in Singapore, Batam and Guangdong operating near full capacity with an order book of S$370 million, of which S$250 million is expected to be recognized in FY2014.

Segment revenue increased by 29.2% to S$289.4 million in FY2013 mainly due to more units of offshore support vessels being constructed.

altWhile shipbuilding was the main driver of ASL Marine's earnings with gross profit contribution of 45% in FY2013, its segment gross margin was only 13.0%, compared with 29.4% for shiprepair and conversion, and 27.4% for shipchartering.Ship repair and conversion contributed 28% to group gross profit in FY2013, but segment revenue was down 18.8% at S$72.4 million as had a higher base in FY2012 from a FPSO conversion job.

Ship chartering contributed 25% of group gross profit in FY2013.

It has a fleet of 156 vessels comprising of tugs and barges, AHT, AHTS, chemical tankers and ROV support vessels deployed in Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia.

Vessel utilization was 70% for tugs, 66% for barges and 78% for offshore support vessels.

Segment revenue increased by 7.7% to S$84.1 million to due additional charter income from anchor handlers acquired during the year.

Its engineering segment, comprising of Engineering, Engineered Dredger Products & Dredgers; and Components & Services under the VOSTA LMG group, contributed 2% to group gross profit.

ASL managing director Ang Kok Tian cited the following positive factors on the company’s outlook:

>> Sustained oil prices and an increasing focus on deepwater oil fields have supported the growth in global oil and gas exploration and production expenditures, boosting newbuild demand for offshore support vessels and healthy charter rates

>> Yards in Batam are expected to benefit from Indonesia’s cabotage law and high level of vessel demand

>> Large LNG fields in Australia are spurring demand for offshore support vessels.

ASL Marine is paying a 2.0-cent dividend on 8 November (if approved at its AGM).

2013-price-chartASL Marine closed at 67 cents on 23 Sept and was trading at 61 cents in July. Bloomberg data

Recent story: ASL Marine Turns Bullish On Vessel Market, OXLEY Has $3.8 B Revenue In The Bag

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Comments  

#5 C.C.Low 2013-09-30 11:01
I am getting into a digital delusion it seems! It should be reflected as 2.1bn (or 2,103m).
#4 C.C. Low 2013-09-30 10:56
Correction
Its share base is 2,103bn (and not 2,103m). Sorry for the typo error.
#3 C.C. Low 2013-09-30 10:54
Goo
Thanks for making a referral to me. I do not profess myself to be a financial guru nor accredited stockpicker. I am not very familiar with Nam Cheong but only that it is an upcoming Malaysian shipbuilder, although its foray is at the moment focused on vessels of smaller and mid tonnage capacity.

Looking at its financials for 2Q it appears to be in better financial shape than ASL Marine (at least on paper). It is more liquid, with a respectable current ratio of 3.0, net loans of only RM250m, and a reasonable gearing of about 0.48. However, it has a very large share base of 2,103m shares which means that it cannot pay out much in dividends unless its yearly net profits are colossal, which is why it is paying only 0.005 ct (half a cent) in dividends (representing only 1.8 % yield on its current stock price of 0.28). In order to see even a dividend of 5 cents it must at least RM200m a year (assuming the dividend policy is 50 % of NPAT). Most companies that spread their share base over a wider spectrum (in order to increase liquidity of its shares in the market by dilution of value) almost always do not pay high dividend because of this. However, this is not to say the some day Name Cheong may not be able to register net profits above the RM200m range.

As reported today, they have just secured another order of 4 vessels with a contract value of US$120m, and if their orders continues to pour in during their expansionary phase, anything is possible, provided they do not over-leverage which may see some erosion in margin as well as weaken their liquidity.

Although Nam Cheong appears to be a better counter to invest than ASL Marine, I am more inclined to go for Jaya Holdings which I believe is undergoing a market re-rating and has much more potential to offer. Just my 2 cents worth.
#2 Goo 2013-09-28 03:33
Thanks CC Low. What do you think of Nam Cheong Ltd?It too has a speculative building approach and has done v well, though the stock price (28 cents) hasn't really run up to its fair value. Does Nam Cheong appear more attractive to you ?
#1 C.C. Low 2013-09-26 08:21
Actually I do not see much value in ASL Marine. Most of its financial ratios and barometers of financial health are not within comfortable range. At best, they are only barely satisfactory. It has a high gearing (0.64) and although NTA was given at 0.95 cts this is highly a delusion because it has total debts of $369m against cash of only $88m, which when taken into account would actually show a net NTA of only less than 0.30 (on a liquidated basis).

Although with an EPS at 10.8 cts which is satisfactory for such industry, it is paying out a dividend of only 2 cts making a yield of 3 % against its current share price of 0.67cts. This low dividend policy is expected to remain in place for the foreseeable future in view of its high gearing and the need to reduce external debt.

Speculative building of ships have their pros and cons, and during times of increasing demand for such vessels the risk of retaining white elephants or having to dispose them off at bargain prices during times of liquidity squeeze may be minimised. However, it is preferable that only companies with surplus cash or very low gearing should involve themselves with such speculative ventures.

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