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CGS CIMB

MAYBANK KIM ENG

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

Growing steadily

 

■ 9MFY9/18 DPU of 9.153 Scts was within expectations, at 74% of FY18F forecast.

■ 3QFY18 boosted by better occupancy and positive rental reversions from larger malls.

■ We expect the larger malls to continue driving growth with higher footfall, occupancy rate and rental reversions.

■ Healthy balance sheet; well positioned for inorganic growth.

■ Maintain Add with unchanged TP of S$2.41.

 

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Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP)

Acquisition Momentum

Fine-tuning DPU & TP; still a HOLD

 

We raise FY19-20E DPU by 3% on stronger than expected 1Q19 and recent 7 Tai Seng divestment gains. This lifts our DDM-based TP to SGD1.30 (WACC 7.4%, LTG 1.5%). MLT’s portfolio rejuvenation has gained momentum with SGD1.1b of deals announced since 1Q18, which drove double-digit YoY growth in revenue and NPI. However competition remains intense against a backdrop of shortening WALEs, and would require a continued focus on tenant retention and asset management. Management has earned confidence on larger deals, but DPU-accretion visibility remains limited. Our preferred pick remains the business-parkfocused AREIT (BUY, TP SGD3.05) for its sizeable debt headroom.

 

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OCBC SECURITIES UOB KAYHIAN

Ascott Residence Trust:

Sorry, I’m checking out for now

 

ART remains the largest hospitality S-REIT by market capitalization, with a diversified base of quality assets in gateway cities. Operationally, we like ART for the strong brand recognition of its assets as well as the resilient nature of its portfolio. However, we remain cautious in light of the rising interest rate environment, given that investors may demand higher yield from bond-like assets. We also see muted DPU growth ahead – in the low single-digits for FY19. Our cost of equity increases from 7.3% to 8.0%, following which our fair value drops from S$1.14 to S$1.00. Against 24 Jul’s close, ART is trading at 6.0% FY18F yield, around 1 std deviation below its 5Y average. Against our fair value, ART would be trading at a FY18F DPU yield of 6.8% or close to its 5Y average. We downgrade ART from Hold to SELL as at 24 Jul’s close.

 

 

REITs – Singapore 2Q18:

MLT (In Line), ART (Below), FCT (In Line)

 

MLT’s 1QFY19 DPU grew 3.7% yoy on the back of improved performance from its portfolio and new acquisitions in Hong Kong. Maintain HOLD and target price of S$1.36. ART’s 2Q18 results came in below expectations, mainly due to the absence of one-off forex gains and an enlarged unit base. Maintain HOLD and target price of S$1.18. FCT’s 3QFY18 DPU was up 1.8% yoy due to higher contributions from its three larger malls. Maintain BUY and target price of S$2.32. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector.

 

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RHB SECURITIES

Singapore Exchange

 

Respectable FY18 SADV

Maintain BUY and TP of SGD9, 20% upside. SGX will be releasing its FY18 results on 27 Jul 2018. Bloomberg data indicated FY18 SADV of SGD1.24bn, which is in line with our expectation of SGD1.2bn. We are bullish on FY19’s SADV, forecasting SGD1.39bn as global uncertainties drive trading activities. Factoring in some negatives from the trading of Nifty 50 Index Futures, we are forecasting FY19 DADC of 0.82m, which is similar to 4QFY18’s DADC. SGX’s FY19F dividend yield of 4.6% is attractive vs Singapore’s sovereign 10-year bond yield of 2.42%.

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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