Excerpts from UOB KH's report

Analysts: Edison Chen & Nicholas Leow

cafepho8.15Success in Vietnam, where Food Empire's Cafe Pho has done very well, is inspiring the company to venture into more parts of Asia.Food Empire’s 2Q17 results came in within expectations as net profit to equity holders rose 93.7% on the back of strong growth in sales for most key markets. 

As core market currencies stabilise with a possible recovery in oil prices, we expect Food Empire’s pricing power to translate into stable growth for the company. 

Food Empire

Share price:
$0.67

Target: 
$0.87

The company is exploring M&A to expand further. 

Maintain BUY with a slightly lower PE-based target price of S$0.87 (previously S$0.90). 


WHAT’S NEW
• Food Empire Holdings (FEH) reported 2Q17 results with net profit to shareholders coming in at US$3.2m vs US$1.8m for 2Q16. The increase in net profit was attributable to an increase in sales across all geographies as 2Q17 sales rose 17.6% yoy to US$62.8m.

Russia accounted for about 42% of sales for 2Q17 with sales growing 12% yoy from US$23.8m in 1Q16 to US$26.6m in 1Q17 due to a stronger Russian Ruble (RUB).

Vietnam sales came in flat with sales growing 4% yoy from US$9.1m in 2Q16 to US$9.5m in 2Q17 in the face of a difference in festive season timing and stiffer competition in Vietnam.

Sales in the other markets continued on a strong growth trajectory as sales grew 61.6% to US$13.7m in 2Q17 due to higher sales contribution from the non-dairy creamer plant in Malaysia and the instant coffee plant in India.

• Margins on the rise. Gross margin trended upward from 34.9% in 2Q16 to 37% in 2Q17 due to higher operating leverage together with a more favourable foreign exchange rate.


Focus on expansion into new geographies

LQM 8F7557Food Empire intends to focus on expanding into new geographies outside of its core markets (Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan and CIS countries) to provide a more balanced portfolio which is evident from the 2Q17 results as sales from Indochina and other markets grew from 32.9% of total sales in 2Q16 to 36.9% of total sales in 2Q17. 

“Replicating the success of its expansion into Vietnam, the group intends to replicate the proven business model into other regions in Asia."


- Edison Chen & Eugene Leow
Analysts, UOB Kay Hian

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

• CEO’s last purchase price at S$0.65/share.
FEH’s CEO, Mr Sudeep Nair’s, last open market repurchase of FEH shares was in May 17 at S$0.65 which is at a 3% discount to current share price levels.

STOCK IMPACT

• We have lowered our 2017-19 net profit estimates slightly by 15-3.9% as we tweak our tax rate assumptions upward and fine-tune our selling and distribution expense and general and administrative expense assumptions.

Peers

Market Cap (US$m)

PE

P/B

Yield
FY17F (%)

FY16

FY17F

FY16

FY17F

 

Key Coffee Inc

1,039

65.4

42.9

1.4

1.4

0.8

Oldtown

329

23.0

21.2

3.4

3.3

0.4

Nestle (Malaysia)

4,505

30.9

29.2

30.4

28.9

3.3

Hey Song Corp

443

11.5

n.a.

0.7

n.a.

n.a.

Atlantic Grupa 

388

16.9

14.9

1.4

1.3

1.5

Average

 

29.5

27.1

7.5

8.7

1.5

Food Empire

263

17.8

16.3

1.6

1.5

1.2

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