9MFY25 Report Card: High Occupancies, Some Headwinds 

 

Centurion Corporation has come a long way in the last five, six years.

The mostly Singapore worker dormitory business morphed into a regional powerhouse — over 70,000 worker beds across Singapore and Malaysia, ~4,500 student beds mostly in the UK, Australia, and now even its own listed REIT (CAREIT) that raised S$771 million in 3Q25.


The growth story has been pretty solid, and the latest numbers (3Q25) show the engine is still running hot.


The Good News (and it's mostly very good):

Growth was primarily driven by the Singapore Purpose-Built Worker Accommodation (PBWA) and the UK Purpose-Built Student Accommodation (PBSA) segments.

  • Singapore PBWA remains the main growth engine.

    Its 3Q25 revenue increased by 10% YoY, boosted by positive rental reversions (estimated at 5% YoY) and the contribution from the 1,650-bed Westlite Ubi.

    Critically, occupancy in the Singapore PBWA portfolio remained healthy at 99% through 9M25.

  • The UK PBSA segment also grew, with positive rental reversions contributing to a 5% YoY revenue growth in 3Q25. 

    9M25 occupancy remained healthy at 97%.



WestlitePapanWestlite Papan, with 7,900 beds -- the largest in Centurion's portfolio of properties for worker accommodation.


The Not-So-Good News:

Despite the strong performance in Singapore and the UK, challenges were evident in Centurion’s other markets, mainly concerning occupancy and revenue dips.

  • Malaysia PBWA saw its 9M25 occupancy drop to 83% from 90% in 9M24, resulting in a 2.4% YoY dip in 3Q25 revenue.

    This is attributed to the potential impact of the 13th Malaysia Plan, which aims to cap foreign labour at 10% of the total workforce by 2030.

  • Australia PBSA also experienced a decline in 9M25 occupancy to 92% (from 95% in 9M24), leading to a 7.1% YoY revenue dip in 3Q25.

    This dip was linked to a previous student visa cap, although that cap was subsequently raised in August 2025.

    In addition, there was a negative currency impact due to weaker Australian dollar.



Ben Yik 1.25Ben Yik, analystPhillips analyst Ben Yik noted that 9M25 Group revenue (+12% YOY) was 74% of his full-year forecast

UOB KH analyst Adrian Loh stated that the solid update beat his expectations, with revenue rising 12% year-on-year (YoY) to account for 80% of full-year forecasts.


AdrianLoh 722Adrian Loh, analystWhile the analysts agree on the strength of its core operations and future growth visibility, they hold differing views on forward earnings and overall valuation.


What Analysts Like


UOB KH highlighted the successful listing of Centurion Accommodation REIT (CAREIT) in 3Q25, which raised approximately S$771 million.

It believes this provides Centurion with "more than enough financial firepower to execute ambitious growth plans over the next 3-5 years."

It also highlighted the company's "decent moat" around its PBWA business in Singapore, noting that the stock remains inexpensive.

Phillips agrees that the visibility of the expansion pipeline is increasing.

It noted Centurion’s strong track record could secure more fee-based management services contracts from other dormitory players in Singapore, yielding significant margins.

In addition, the acquisition of Harum Megah adds a significant 7.2k beds to the Malaysia PBWA capacity (+25%).


Centurion dwell2.25Centurion's "dwell-branded" student accommodation property in Manchester offers close to 1,000 beds, the largest capacity in its UK portfolio of nearly 2,800 beds for students.
 

What Analysts' Concerns Are

 

Phillips' analyst lowered segment valuations (to 15x P/E) to reflect regulatory headwinds in Malaysia and Australia.

Additionally, he projects that the positive rental revisions seen in Singapore PBWAs will moderate significantly in 2026 (estimated to ~2%).

UOB KH's analyst expressed less enthusiasm specifically regarding Centurion’s recent expansion into prime London PBSA.

He pointed out that prime London assets typically generate lower yields compared with similar assets outside of London.


Centurion mgt2.25CEO Kong Chee Min (extreme right) speaks with Kelvin Teo, Chief Operating Officer -- Accommodation Business. With them is Ho Lip Chin, Chief Investment Officer – Accommodation Business. File photo


Where the Analysts Differ 


The primary difference between the two research houses lies in their forecasts post-restructuring and their resulting target prices (TPs).

Category

Phillips Securities

UOB Kay Hian

Target Price & Rating

Upgraded to BUY, but lowered TP to S$1.81 (from S$2.01)

Maintained BUY, raised TP to S$1.90 (from S$1.70)

FY26 Earnings Forecast

Projects Centurion's FY26e adjusted PATMI will drop ~35% to S$75 million due to the REIT spin-off. Centurion holds a 42.8% stake in the REIT.

Forecasts 6.8% rise in adjusted net profit of S$110.6 million for FY26F

Valuation Method

Lowered Segmental Sum-of-the-Parts multiple to 15x P/E to account for regulatory risks

Used PE-based target multiple of 12.4x, said the stock is undervalued given anticipated earnings growth



Essentially, while both see long-term upside in Centurion, Phillips is more cautious about immediate regulatory risks (in Malaysia and Australia) and future rental growth moderation.

On the other hand, UOB KH views the massive capital injection from the REIT IPO as an overwhelming positive, justifying a higher valuation roll-forward.

The balance sheet has never been stronger, the core business has never been healthier, and Centurion has shown it can keep executing for years.



lamp9.25→ The UOB KH report is here and Phillip Securities' is here


→ Centurion's 3Q PowerPoint deck is here.


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