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MAYBANK KIM ENG

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mm2 Asia (MM2 SP)

Non-operational leakage drags profits

 

Non-operational items cut TP by 17%.

Maintain BUY. mm2’s higher than expected finance charges and tax rate related to its acquisition of Cathay Cineleisure led us to cut our 2019-21E core profit forecasts by 48%/12%/9%. 9MFY19 core profit was below expectations at 34% of our FY19E and 67% of previous consensus forecasts. We make no changes to our operational assumptions as mm2 generates the bulk of its revenues and profitability from the core movie/TV production business in the 4Q (end-Mar). Our 1x PEG based TP is cut by 17% to SGD0.34. Failure to show cinema business value creation, or a slowdown in the production business, are the key risks to our outlook.

 

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Sembcorp Marine

Turning point

 

■ SMM could start to deliver positive EBIT from FY19F with complex legacy projects gradually delivered.

■ The current order book of c.S$3.1bn mainly comprises expected profitable FPSO/FPU jobs secured since 2017 and two units of Transocean drillships.

■ Net gearing at 1.31x post YTD collections. Securitisation of Borr Drilling receivables (c.S$1bn) could reduce net gearing to c.1x. Maintain Add.

 

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OCBC MAYBANK KIM ENG

 

Captialand Limited: Beating its KPIs like a Boss

CapitaLand’s 4Q18 results fell slightly short of our expectations despite an increase in its operating PATMI by 26.1% YoY to S$213.8m. A first and final DPS of 12 S cents was declared, similar to FY17 and translates into a dividend yield of 3.5%. For the full-year, management was active on capital recycling, having made divestments amounting to S$4.0b (target: S$3b). Proceeds were redeployed into S$6.1b of new investments. FY18 ROE was 9.3% (target: at least 8%), higher as compared to the 8.6% registered in FY17. CapitaLand's real estate AUM rose 12% to S$100.1b, as at end-2018, surpassing its target to hit S$100b by 2020. Notwithstanding headwinds in China, CapitaLand remains optimistic on the outlook of the residential market, especially on Tier-1 and selected Tier-2 cities. Its projects there are still able to command margins ranging around 10-30%. After adjustments, we derive a slightly higher fair value estimate of S$3.98 (previously: S$3.96).

 

 

 

Singapore Medical Group (SMG SP)

2018: Results Below Expectations, But Growth Still Intact With Increased Stake From Strategic Investor

 

SMG reported a 52.1% yoy increase in net profit to S$12.9m in 2018, below our expectations. However, the group announced that Korean healthcare group, CHA, will increase its stake to become the majority shareholder at 28% through the purchase of vendor shares & convertible loan. The investment is set to build on the expertise of CHA and drive SMG’s growth in women’s health and preventive care. We cut 2019-20 net profit forecasts by 14% but maintain BUY with a lower PE-based target price of S$0.65, or 23x 2019F PE.

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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