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MAYBANK KIM ENG CIMB

Singapore Economics

Export Momentum Pointing to Strong 3Q GDP Growth

Continued Export Momentum

 

Exports continued their positive momentum in August, with electronic exports showing no signs of waning. Non-oil domestic exports (NODX) surged by +17% in August (vs. +7.6% in Jul), driven by electronics exports (+21.7% vs. +15.3% in Jul). Non-electronics exports also accelerated (+15%) as pharmaceuticals (-9.1% vs. -53.6% in Jul) declined at a softer pace. Non-oil re-exports, a proxy for wholesale trade services, surged by +11.9% from a year ago (vs. +16.7% in Jul), driven by both electronics (+21.1%) and nonelectronics (+2.5%).

 

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Sembcorp Marine

Capturing market share

 

■ We estimate SMM will bag around US$440m-500m in contracts for at least two large Compressed Gas Liquid (CGL) carriers from American company, SeaOne.

■ This news is positive for SMM and we think the contract will materialise by end-2017F or early 2018F, lifting the lacklustre order momentum YTD.

■ Maintain Add and our target price of S$1.87, still based on 1.5x FY17F P/BV (in line with the average trading band in 1996-2003, pre-rig boom).

 

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UOB KAYHIAN

Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)

August’s Load Factor Continues To Improve, But At The Lowest Pace Since April

 

While SIA’s load factors continued to improve for the financial year, August’s 0.3ppt was the lowest since the start of FY18. Notably, SIA had cut capacity to Europe and the Americas and this aided load factor. We are also mindful of further pressure on loads or yields amid recurring terror attacks increasing competition. Maintain HOLD. Target price: S$10.10. Entry price: S$9.50 or lower.

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings2.3700.030
Best World2.460-
Boustead Singapore0.945-0.015
Broadway Ind0.133-
China Aviation Oil (S)0.920-0.005
China Sunsine0.4200.005
ComfortDelGro1.480-
Delfi Limited0.895-
Food Empire1.260-
Fortress Minerals0.300-0.005
Geo Energy Res0.305-0.005
Hong Leong Finance2.500-
Hongkong Land (USD)3.1400.020
InnoTek0.5500.030
ISDN Holdings0.305-0.005
ISOTeam0.0440.001
IX Biopharma0.0420.001
KSH Holdings0.250-
Leader Env0.047-0.004
Ley Choon0.045-
Marco Polo Marine0.067-
Mermaid Maritime0.139-0.001
Nordic Group0.305-0.005
Oxley Holdings0.088-0.001
REX International0.133-0.003
Riverstone0.795-0.020
Southern Alliance Mining0.430-
Straco Corp.0.485-0.025
Sunpower Group0.2100.005
The Trendlines0.067-
Totm Technologies0.022-
Uni-Asia Group0.820-0.005
Wilmar Intl3.470-0.030
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.740-0.010
 

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