contrarian_bookYOU MAY RECALL that we put together a 50-stock portfolio at the start of the year using certain metrics: Low PE, low price-to-book, and dividend paying.

We used Bloomberg data to coldly sort stocks and we made no judgement on whether any of the 50 selected stocks should be booted out for whatever reason.

And of course, there were stocks in the list whose fundamentals we were not familiar with. (See: Stock picks for 2014: Will these 50 stocks outperform?)

This approach more or less is what some funds, such as start-up Aggregate Asset Management, adopts, and is championed by David Dreman in his best-selling book, Contrarian Investment Strategies, published in 1980.


"I buy stocks when they are battered. I am strict with my discipline. I always buy stocks with low price-earnings ratios, low price-to-book value ratios and higher-than-average yield. Academic studies have shown that a strategy of buying out-of-favor stocks with low PE, price-to-book and price-to-cash flow ratios outperforms the market pretty consistently over long periods of time." – David Dreman 


In 1Q2014, the performance of our chosen 50 turned out to be a 3.3% gain.

It does look uninspiring. It could make you wonder: Would a skilful stock picker do much better? 

There is a wide range of performance among individual stocks in the portfolio: Would a savvy investor have better luck in picking many of these and avoiding the lemons?

One thing about a portfolio stuffed with a large number of stocks is, at the end of the day, it is likely to end up within shouting distance of the performance of the market's benchmark index, the Straits Times Index. In 1Q, the STI gained 0.98%.

Among the sizzling gainers in the portfolio is Valuetronics, up 35%, a stock which has attracted effusive comments from investors in our forum recently over its latest 3Q2014 (ended Dec 2013) result.

Net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 45.0% to HK$35.5 million. For 9MFY2014, it hit HK$108.4 million, a 102.5% year-on-year increase. 

On the other hand, Sing Holdings, despite being an undervalued stock, was beaten down 13% amid a downturn in the Singapore property market. (Read comments on the stock inour forum.) 

 

 

 

Stock price (SG cts)

 


 

Company Name

24 Dec 2013

End-Mar
2014

% change

 

CHINASING INVESTMENT

4

2

-50

 

FnN_logo
FRASER AND NEAVE

296

315

6.4

 

ABR HOLDINGS

76

95

25

 

WEE HUR

33

35

6.1

 

SHANGHAI TURBO

9.1

8

-12.1

 

FUJIAN ZHENYUN PLASTICS

15.6

14.2

-9.0

 

Heeton_logo

63

65.5

4.0

 

WING TAI HLDGS

198

183

-7.6

 

TUAN SING HLDGS

29.5

33.5

13.6

 

LION TECK CHIANG

77

73.5

-4.5

 

CHEUNG WOH TECH

13.5

14.5

7.4

 

CHINA MINZHONG

87.5

94.5

8.0

 

ELLIPSIZ

8.4

8.7

3.6

 

SING HOLDINGS

41

35.5

-13.4

 

LUM CHANG

33.5

33.5

-

 

SUNPOWER_LOGO

14

14

-

 

TRIYARDS

66

64

-3.0

 

RICKMERS MARITIME

28.5

28.5

-

 

FUNG CHOI MEDIA

10.6

10.0

-5.7

 

INNOVALUES

14.8

14.9

0.7

 

KSH HOLDINGS

47.5

46

-3.2

 

Hiap_Hoe_logo

81

91

12.3

 

VALUETRONICS

24.5

33

34.7

 

UOL GROUP

611

626

2.5

 

TA CORP

38

36.5

-4.0

 

ENGRO CORP

102

117.5

15.2

 

CHINA FISHERY

38

40.5

6.7

 

DEVOTION ENERGY

18.8

Delisted

--

 

SIM LIAN GROUP

79.5

84

5.7

 

FRASERS CENTREPOINT

174.5

153.5

-12.1

 

PAC ANDES RESOURCES

13.3

12.2

-8.3

 

CAMBRIDGE REIT

68

72

5.9

 

HONG FOK CORP

69

72.5

5.1

 

CHINA MERCHANTS

92.5

96

3.8

 

FRASERS COMMERCIAL

128

125.5

-2.0

 

SHC CAPITAL ASIA

15.8

20

26.6

 

LIPPO MALLS

39.5

40

1.3

 

ASL MARINEASL_LOGO

63

70

11.1

 

HockLianSeng_logo
 HOCK LIAN SENG

26

27

3.8

 

TAT SENG PACKAGING

27.5

32

16.4

 

CHIP ENG SENG

69.5

73.5

5.8

 

MARCO POLO MARINE

38.5

38.5

--

 

UNION STEEL

10.8

10.7

0.9

 

TAI SIN ELECTRIC

31

33.5

8.1

 

KEPPEL LAND

337

336

-

 

CAPITARETAIL

134

140

4.5

 

Tiongseng_logo

20.5

19.5

- 0.5

 

HIAP TONG CORP

12.3

14.2

15.4

 

SINARMAS LAND

47.5

57

20.0

 

VICPLAS

7.9

8.9

12.7

 

 

 

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Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings2.340-0.020
Best World2.460-0.010
Boustead Singapore0.960-0.005
Broadway Ind0.1330.004
China Aviation Oil (S)0.9250.005
China Sunsine0.415-
ComfortDelGro1.480-0.020
Delfi Limited0.895-0.010
Food Empire1.260-0.010
Fortress Minerals0.305-0.005
Geo Energy Res0.310-
Hong Leong Finance2.5000.010
Hongkong Land (USD)3.1200.050
InnoTek0.520-0.005
ISDN Holdings0.310-
ISOTeam0.0430.002
IX Biopharma0.041-0.002
KSH Holdings0.250-
Leader Env0.051-
Ley Choon0.045-0.001
Marco Polo Marine0.0670.001
Mermaid Maritime0.140-0.001
Nordic Group0.310-0.030
Oxley Holdings0.089-
REX International0.136-0.001
Riverstone0.815-0.005
Southern Alliance Mining0.430-0.015
Straco Corp.0.5100.010
Sunpower Group0.205-0.005
The Trendlines0.067-0.002
Totm Technologies0.022-
Uni-Asia Group0.825-
Wilmar Intl3.5000.020
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.750-0.030
 

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