Excerpts from Maybank KE report

Analyst: Gene Lih Lai, CFA

9M19 ahead; setting up for FY20E growth; BUY

Reiterate BUY with higher ROE-g/COE-g TP of SGD2.12 (4.1x blended FY19-20E P/B, prev: 3.2x), as we raise FY19-21E EPS by 13-71%, factoring in:

AEM 

Share price: 
$1.63

Target: 
$2.12

i) AEM’s higher FY19E revenue guidance;

ii) stronger-than-expected HDMT momentum; and

iii) inclusion of contributions from hybrid project and cable testers for Huawei in FY20-21E.


9M19 PATMI already reached 95%/93% of our/consensus’ FY19E estimates.

Despite high-base effects, FY20E dynamics appear favourable for further growth.

Strong FY20E guidance would be a catalyst, while weak demand for key customer’s chips would be a key risk.


Full report here.


Excerpts from KGI report

Analyst: Tan Jiunn Chyuan (Kenny)

AEM 

Share price: 
$1.63

Target: 
$1.80

AEM’s 3Q19 results exceeded expectations. 9M19 results now form 79% of our initial 2019 sales forecast, and 96% of our initial 2019 PATMI forecast. AEM has also increased revenue guidance to S$305-315mn for FY2019

 We researched key customer wallet share amongst test equipment peers to better understand AEM’s revenue sustainability with the key customer

 We amend our revenue forecast to include the potential sales of AEM’s next generation of test handlers. Our new PATMI forecast is S$44.6/41.2/45.3 mn for 2019/2020/2021F

 Maintain OUTPERFORM. We increase our 12M Target Price to S$1.80, from S$1.34. We look forward to 6 November for management’s presentation for potential insights


Full report here.

 

Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings2.290-0.070
Best World2.4600.020
Boustead Singapore0.945-0.015
Broadway Ind0.125-0.003
China Aviation Oil (S)0.905-0.005
China Sunsine0.400-0.010
ComfortDelGro1.450-0.010
Delfi Limited0.895-0.005
Food Empire1.280-0.040
Fortress Minerals0.305-0.015
Geo Energy Res0.300-0.005
Hong Leong Finance2.480-0.010
Hongkong Land (USD)2.830-0.020
InnoTek0.520-0.015
ISDN Holdings0.3000.005
ISOTeam0.042-0.001
IX Biopharma0.040-0.005
KSH Holdings0.2550.005
Leader Env0.050-
Ley Choon0.0440.001
Marco Polo Marine0.067-0.002
Mermaid Maritime0.136-0.003
Nordic Group0.310-0.005
Oxley Holdings0.089-
REX International0.1380.003
Riverstone0.790-0.005
Southern Alliance Mining0.445-
Straco Corp.0.4950.010
Sunpower Group0.205-0.005
The Trendlines0.069-
Totm Technologies0.022-
Uni-Asia Group0.825-
Wilmar Intl3.4000.020
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.740-0.030