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CGS CIMB

OCBC

Singapore Strategy

Sentiment built up along the way

 

■ Our recent “Keep calm and trade on” marketing tour found Singapore and Malaysia investors more defensive than their HK counterparts, preferring high-yield stocks.

■ We stick to our theme of dissipating rising interest rates and maintain Overweight on the oversold developer sector (currently trading at c.45% discount to RNAV).

■ Our 12-month FSSTI target remains at 3,300 based on 12x CY20F P/E. Our large cap picks are CAPL, CIT, CDREIT, CD, GENS, OCBC, SCI, SSG and STE.

 

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Singapore Press Holdings: In-line results

 

SPH’s 1QFY19 operating revenue dropped 1.7%YoY to S$254.3m, with the lower printadvertisement revenue partially offset bycontribution from the group’s UK studentaccommodation portfolio. While the group’s dropin Classified print ad revenue remained steep at17.1% YoY, the print Display ad revenue drop of2.7% was a welcomed improvement. We notethat finance cost has increased by 20.8% YoY toS$10.6m, due to the group’s acquisition of theUK student accommodation portfolio and thedevelopment of The Woodleigh Residences andThe Woodleigh Mall. Core PATMI grew 1.5% YoYto S$57.9m, after accounting for 1QFY18’s gainarising from the dilution of interest inMindChamps, retrenchment costs, and gain ondisposal of investments. We deem this set ofresults to be broadly in-line with ourexpectations. Pending an analyst briefing, wemaintain our HOLD rating but place our fairvalue of S$2.55 under review.

UOB KAYHIAN DBS

CapitaLand Commercial Trust (CCT SP)

Benefitting From Dearth Of New Grade-A Office Space

 

Supply of new office space will taper to 1.2m sf in 2019 and 1.0m sf in 2020, after a deluge of 2.7m sf in 2017 and 1.7m sf in 2018. CCT is a prime beneficiary of an upturn in office rent as it is the largest landlord in Singapore’s CBD with grade-A office buildings accounting for 81% of its portfolio NLA. We expect positive rental reversion for AST2 in 1H19 and CapitaGreen in 2H19. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$2.11.

 

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Singapore Property

 

Oxley: A much-needed Ang Pao

• Oxley accepts a non-binding LOI to purchase its Mercure and Novotel Hotels for S$950m (S$1.23m per key)

• The price is at a 5% premium to book value and the estimated gross yield is 4.7%

• The sale, if completed, would alleviate some concerns on debt repayment risks, especially its S$450m retail bonds maturing in November 2019 and May 2020

• Other key concerns including i) 3,700 residential units of launch pipeline and unsold inventory, ii) potential receipts of proceeds from overseas projects, iii) potential divestment of Dublin properties.

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings2.340-0.020
Best World2.460-0.010
Boustead Singapore0.960-0.005
Broadway Ind0.1330.004
China Aviation Oil (S)0.9250.005
China Sunsine0.415-
ComfortDelGro1.480-0.020
Delfi Limited0.895-0.010
Food Empire1.260-0.010
Fortress Minerals0.305-0.005
Geo Energy Res0.310-
Hong Leong Finance2.5000.010
Hongkong Land (USD)3.1200.050
InnoTek0.520-0.005
ISDN Holdings0.310-
ISOTeam0.0430.002
IX Biopharma0.041-0.002
KSH Holdings0.250-
Leader Env0.051-
Ley Choon0.045-0.001
Marco Polo Marine0.0670.001
Mermaid Maritime0.140-0.001
Nordic Group0.310-0.030
Oxley Holdings0.089-
REX International0.136-0.001
Riverstone0.815-0.005
Southern Alliance Mining0.430-0.015
Straco Corp.0.5100.010
Sunpower Group0.205-0.005
The Trendlines0.067-0.002
Totm Technologies0.022-
Uni-Asia Group0.825-
Wilmar Intl3.5000.020
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.750-0.030
 

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